The WRIST GAME pack costs $110.07 and contains 18 items . It is a community-made pack, found under the Creator filter on PackDraw's packs page rather than in the Official list.
Its published drop rates sum to exactly 100.0000%, which means the item pool is fully disclosed — nothing is unaccounted for. Working the numbers gives an RTP of 88.00%.
Full item pool & odds
All 18 items, ordered as PackDraw lists them. The final column is each item's contribution to the pack's expected value — odds multiplied by value.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cartier Steel Santos Bustdown | 0.0050% | $21,600.00 | $1.08 |
| Rolex Submariner Date | 0.0200% | $19,000.00 | $3.80 |
| Rolex Datejust Bustdown | 0.0050% | $18,500.00 | $0.93 |
| Audemars Piguet Royal Oak | 0.0200% | $10,500.00 | $2.10 |
| Breitling Navitimer 1 B01 | 0.1500% | $7,900.00 | $11.85 |
| Rolex Oyster Perpetual | 0.2000% | $7,500.00 | $15.00 |
| G-Shock GMW-B5000V | 0.1000% | $3,616.00 | $3.62 |
| Apple Watch Hermès Silver | 0.2500% | $2,199.00 | $5.50 |
| Swatch x Omega Bioceramic | 2.0000% | $450.00 | $9.00 |
| Swatch x Omega Bioceramic | 2.0000% | $440.00 | $8.80 |
| Breitling Beige Military Strap | 1.5000% | $235.00 | $3.52 |
| G-Shock Watch Yellow | 5.0000% | $225.00 | $11.25 |
| Off-White Alarm Clock | 2.5000% | $162.00 | $4.05 |
| Watch Box | 5.0000% | $100.00 | $5.00 |
| Hello Kitty White Dial | 6.2500% | $95.00 | $5.94 |
| SONGMICS Watch Box | 20.0000% | $25.00 | $5.00 |
| Empty Box | 20.0000% | $2.00 | $0.40 |
| Paper Phone | 35.0000% | $0.10 | $0.03 |
| Total | 100.0000% | — | $96.87 |
What the numbers actually mean
RTP 88.00% means that across an enormous number of opens, the pack returns about 88 cents of listed value for every dollar spent — an average loss of $13.20 per open. Mystery box sites commonly sit in the 70–85% range, so this sits at the better end. For comparison, casino slots typically run 92–96%.
But RTP alone tells you very little about what opening this pack feels like. The number that does is variance:
| Chance of an item worth more than $110.07 | 13.7500% — about 1 in 7 |
| Chance of landing below the pack price | 86.2500% |
| Most common outcome | Paper Phone at $0.10 — 35.0000% |
| Top prize | Cartier Steel Santos Bustdown at $21,600.00 |
That gives this pack a middle-of-the-road variance profile. Most of its expected value is carried by the $7,500.00 Rolex Oyster Perpetual and the $7,900.00 Breitling Navitimer 1 B01, which between them account for 28% of the total EV — so the headline top prize contributes far less than its price tag suggests.
Opening this pack?
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Open PackDraw with Bonus ↗How to work this out for any pack
Multiply each item's odds by its value, add them all together, and divide by the pack price — that is the RTP. Then separately check what percentage of outcomes beat the price, which tells you the variance. A pack with 85% RTP where 40% of opens beat the price is a completely different experience from one with 90% RTP where 1% do. Both numbers matter, and most sites publish neither. Our EV calculator does the arithmetic for you.
Compare this against every other pack we have measured on the best PackDraw packs ranking, and read the strategy guide for how house edge compounds across a session.
Item values are PackDraw's own listed prices. Selling an item back for crypto typically returns less than full retail, so the effective RTP on a cash-out basis is lower than the figure above. Odds and item pools can change — this snapshot was taken in August 2026. PackDraw is 18+, unlicensed, and negative expected value by design; most users lose money over time.
Frequently asked questions
What is the RTP of the PackDraw WRIST GAME pack?
Working through the published item pool, the WRIST GAME pack has an expected value of $96.87 against a $110.07 price, giving an RTP of 88.00% and a house edge of 12.00%. That means an average loss of $13.20 per open over the long run. The published odds sum to exactly 100%, so the item pool is fully disclosed.
What are the odds of profiting on the WRIST GAME pack?
13.7500% of outcomes are worth more than the $110.07 pack price — roughly 1 in 7. The most common single outcome is Paper Phone at $0.10, which lands 35.0000% of the time.
What is the best item in the WRIST GAME pack?
The highest-value item is the $21,600.00 Cartier Steel Santos Bustdown. But value and expected value are different things — most of this pack's EV comes from the $7,500.00 Rolex Oyster Perpetual and the $7,900.00 Breitling Navitimer 1 B01, which together account for 28% of the total.
Are these odds published by PackDraw?
Yes. PackDraw displays every item's drop rate and value on the pack page before you open, and its provably fair system lets you verify any individual result using the server seed, client seed and nonce. The RTP and variance figures on this page are our own calculations from those published numbers, not figures PackDraw advertises.